For Nassim Taleb, averages are completely irrelevant
In the world of finance, averages are useless. Concepts like extrapolation, correlation, and diversification do little more than invite disaster—or, at the very least, significantly lower returns than are otherwise achievable. “Modern portfolio theory is bullshit,” declared Nassim Taleb, the legendary author of The Black Swan.
Chart of the week: The weakest link
Remember that BBC quiz show with the notoriously blunt Anne Robinson, who ended each round with the line, “You are the weakest link. Goodbye”? In The Weakest Link, the contestant deemed weakest by the others was eliminated—on the logic that a weak player could damage the prize pot. That sounds rather economic. So why is the European Central Bank (ECB) doing the exact opposite?
Benjamin Cordonnier named CEO at Astorg
Private equity firm Astorg, headquartered in Luxembourg, has announced a change in senior leadership, appointing Benjamin Cordonnier as chief executive officer.
Geneva Truce might not be enough to undo economic damage, investors say
Markets are celebrating the news that the United States and China have agreed on Monday to sharply reduce import duties for 90 days. Whether they’re right to do so is another matter.
Allianz GI lifts ban on defence stocks in ESG push
As Europe boosts defence spending and investors adapt to geopolitical uncertainty, Allianz Global Investors has adjusted its sustainability criteria to include certain defence-related investments. Firms with more than 10 percent of their turnover from defence equipment and those that produce nuclear weapons now are considered eligible.
Transfers: LuxCMA, Linklaters Luxembourg, ISSA, CBRE
This week’s overview of people transfers and appointments in and around Luxembourg includes updates from the Luxembourg Capital Markets Association, law firm Linklaters, the International Securities Services Association (ISSA), and CBRE.
Fund selection: what if private banks and fund houses are family?
Can private clients still trust that their bank’s advice is objective when that bank also owns a stake in the fund house behind the recommended products? The question is becoming more pressing across Europe, including Luxembourg, where private banks and fund distributors sit at the crossroads of European asset flows.
Über-capitalist becomes communist
One fascinating espionage technique during the Cold War was the “sleeper mole.” These were Soviet agents who operated inconspicuously in the West for years—sometimes even decades—awaiting activation. To avoid being recognized as communists, these moles had to cultivate the opposite image. In the eyes of Soviet strategists, the perfect cover? An extreme capitalist: someone who lines his house with gold, plasters his name in gold letters on buildings, and constantly boasts about wealth and success.
Inflation forces a generational rethink among investors
After more than thirty years of falling rates, globalization and passive dominance, a new era is forcing investors to rethink the rules.
Luxembourg holds the line on sustainable investing
Despite a US backlash, Luxembourg champions still sustainable investing through institutional support, regulatory debate, and industrial innovation.