Thomas De fauw

European investors this year found safety in short-term US debt and the dollar. This week’s Top 5 by Morningstar takes a look at the performance of US government bond funds in the year to date.

High-yield bonds are not equal. In the US market this year, the difference in spreads between bonds with credit ratings of CCC and below versus BBs rose from 4.6 percent to 9 percent.

After two consecutive red quarters, global high-yield bond funds closed the third quarter with handsome gains. Yet it is premature to speak of a trend reversal.

Funds investing in emerging market bonds lost for the third quarter in a row when measured in dollars, but made a small gain in euros. 

It has been a challenging period so far for both equities and bonds in 2022. The era of loose monetary policy is over as inflation races around the world, leaving policymakers with no choice but to raise interest rates and scale back bond buying programmes.

You may not have noticed it while on holiday this summer, but Italy is once again in crisis. Political risks make for an uncertain economic outlook. This week, we look at the top 5 bond funds with the highest exposure to the battered Italy debt markets.

The risk of recession and persistent inflation resulted in a correction of almost all risky assets. Also high yield bonds ended the first half of the year with heavy losses. An update:

Interest rate hikes in developed markets caused most bond categories to be deeply in the red after the second quarter of this year. High-yield bonds were not spared: The ICE BofA Glb High Yield Constrained Index closed the second quarter of 2022 with a loss of 5.7 percent measured in euros after giving up 4 percent in the first quarter.

With a first-half loss of 7 percent when measured in euro, the GBI-EM Global Diversified Index, the benchmark for emerging market bonds, was by no means the worst student in its class.

The past six months have been one of the toughest for bonds ever. Especially long-dated bonds have taken a beating. The Bloomberg Euro Aggregate 10+ Year index fell by no less than 23.6 percent while the Bloomberg Euro Aggregate 1-3 Year index was “only” 2.9 percent lower.

Few asset classes offered protection in this market correction, but investors who chose bonds with shorter maturities were able to limit losses somewhat.

Chinese bonds have defied the general negative trend in bond and credit markets this year until recently, but ended May with heavy losses.