Raymond Frenken

Apps and online investment services have led to a new type of consumer behaviour. Bank runs go viral, introducing a new type of liquidity risk for banks and investment services. The ECB warns the threat may not be ignored.

After 300 basis points in six subsequent rate hikes since last July, the European Central Bank on Thursday stopped talking about further increases in eurozone interest rates. The ECB is unsure about its next steps now the effects of higher rates are being felt by businesses, households and banks. It also sees that its policy is transmitting “rather rapidly” into the economy. 

Luxembourg-domiciled Ucits investment funds for retail investors have become the most widely used funds in the Belgian market, the head of Belgian asset management association Beama said on Wednesday.

Now that the initial dust on SVB’s collapse has settled, one of Europe’s top bank supervisors has a clear message for investors, bankers and financial market participants: banks in Luxembourg and elsewhere in Europe are safe and sound thanks to stringent supervision. “If rates were to still increase, our banks would not sustain losses up to a level that would put their solvency into question,” said Claude Wampach, who serves as director of banking supervision at Luxembourg’s financial regulator CSSF, speaking to Investment Officer.

Financial markets on Monday appeared to position themselves for a slower pace of rate hikes in the US, or even a pause, amid talk that the Federal Reserve may adopt a more cautious monetary policy following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. The European Central Bank this week still is expected to raise interest rates by 50 percent amid the global market turmoil caused by the collapse of SVB, which fell victim due to mismanagement of its interest rate risks. 

Answering questions about the bank run on Silicon Valley Bank, the European Central Bank on Sunday underlined its concerns over how European banks are managing risks relating to increasing interest rates. The ECB reiterated that a recent supervisory review found weaknesses at banks, including ignoring consumer behaviour shifts that could lead to deposit withdrawals when rates rise. “Beyond a certain point, it could become an issue,” ECB chief bank supervisor Andrea Enria said in a Latvian interview last week.

Has the sudden collapse of Silicon Valley Bank ignited fears of a new financial crisis? Or is its demise incidental, offering investors an excuse to take profits on attractive gains that bank sector stocks booked in recent months?

As European financial markets closed on Friday, worried investment professionals were hard to find. The sentiment and rising interest rates however are clearly recognised as risk factors. 

Nordea and M&G on Thursday said they intend to cut jobs because the asset management industry is facing difficult market conditions. Both firms have a significant presence in Luxembourg. “The reason for the adjustment is the need to adapt to the market environment, because macroeconomic uncertainty remains high, and the asset management industry is facing significant mid-term uncertainty and volatility,” Nordea said.

Some 27 new Reserved Alternative Investment Funds, or Raifs, were registered at the Luxembourg Business Register during February, according to information made public at the end of the month.

The number brings the total new Raifs registered so far this year to 48 funds. That compares to 78 new Raifs that were created during the first two months of last year.

Luxembourg now is home to a total of 2173 Raifs. During 2022, a total of 472 new Raifs were registered. That is an average of 39 per month.

The market for European long term investment funds, or Eltifs, is set to triple in the coming years as high-net-worth clients increasingly look to diversify their portfolios by increasing their exposure to private markets, according to US fund manager BlackRock. “We have, I would say, aggressive plans to expand.”