Raymond Frenken

It almost sounds like a call to run for the hills. Get rid of your risky assets, go defensive, and play volatility as an asset class. Sell European equities and buy Swiss. Now that the Russia-Ukraine war shows no signs of abating, Christophe Donay, Chief Strategist at Swiss-based Pictet Wealth Management, fears that excessive global debt has made the world economy vulnerable to a new systemic crisis. 

In the Luxembourg transfer market, Banque de Luxembourg Investments and JP Morgan Asset Management both announced that they have strengthened their sustainable investing teams. Consultancy EY meanwhile said it has created a new Luxembourg team dedicated to the public sector.

Roland Rott and Soňa Stadtelmeyer-Petru (pictured) have joined JP Morgan’s sustainable investing team. Both hires will report to JPM’s Global Head of Sustainable Investing, Jennifer Wu.

An abrupt and disorderly transition to a low carbon economy risks disrupting the financial system as a sudden implementation of climate change mitigation policies can increase transition risks, a new European Central Bank study said on Friday.

The ECB’s researchers raised the prospect of “severe banking system losses” if no additional policy action is taken. These losses could reach “up to 40 percent more” compared to a baseline scenario where no policy action is taken.

The European Central Bank on Thursday opened the doors to a potential eurozone rate hike in the second half of this year as it brought forward the end of its asset purchasing programme to the summer, but at the same time it made clear that it would keep open its option to renew the programme if economic conditions worsen because of the war in Ukraine and sanctions against Russia.

The future of some 855 funds with exposure to Russia is shrouded in uncertainty as the turmoil in Russia’s financial markets continued on Monday. JP Morgan AM and Prosperity on Monday suspended their funds with assets in Russia. East Capital warned of “a very high level of disruption”. Asset managers are facing requests for information from their regulators.

For a second time in two years, investment fund managers have been ordered to directly report significant redemptions as the CSSF, the Grand Duchy’s financial supervisor, stepped up its monitoring of the impact from the war in Ukraine and the international sanctions against Russia.

The financial industry often baulked at the tens of billions of euros it pays for EU’s comprehensive regulation framework put in place post 2008 financial crisis. With markets in turmoil over Russia-Ukraine, that tone now is different.

Also as international funds hub, Luxembourg finds itself exposed to the economic fallout from Russia’s war against Ukraine. Hundreds of investment funds with assets in Russia’s financial markets are making extra efforts to keep clients abreast about the financial impact of international sanctions. Dozens of funds have already been suspended and from Wednesday, European stock exchanges have banned all trade in Russian securities.

Global commodity markets are watching the unfolding war in Ukraine with trepidation amid broad expectations the violent conflict will result in shortages for anything from aluminium to zinc. One global market, grain, is particularly vulnerable, as Russia and Ukraine together account for a very significant part of global production of wheat and barley. Wheat prices already reached a ten-year high this week.

Luxembourg fully supports the European Union’s additional sanctions against Russia over its aggressive move towards Ukraine but supports a cautious approach with the EU’s plans to eject Vladimir Putin’s country from the international payments system Swift. If that happens Russia will in essence be cut off from the world economy.