climate change

Banks across Europe and elsewhere in the world should brace themselves for having their climate policies challenged in court after French bank BNP Paribas last week became the first commercial bank to find itself confronted with a lawsuit because of its support to fossil fuels and for contributing to climate change.

Driven by new technologies, consumer expectations and risks, banks are increasingly forced to think and act differently, The boldness with which they embrace change in the time ahead will determine which scenario unfolds between now and 2035. “Massive changes are on the horizon.”

The future has never been more uncertain, and that has more to do with the climate than the business cycle, argues Paul De Grauwe, one of Belgium’s top economists. “Not inflation, but climate is the biggest challenge we face today,” he said. “The entire market system could perish.”

More economic growth means more population growth, according to Thomas Malthus. The demographer and preacher believed that food production is linear and population growth exponential, and as such are the limits to growth. An overpopulated society leads to famines. Epidemics and wars were insufficient to control the growing population, according to Malthus.

JP Morgan Asset Management and Pictet separately announced the launch on Tuesday of new climate change solutions funds. Both funds seek to invest in companies that have aligned their products and services with the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals, known as the SDGs.

“It is not five minutes to twelve, but one minute to twelve,” said Detlef van Vuuren, one of the Dutch scientists who collaborated on the latest report by the UN climate agency, the IPCC. 

According to the report, presented on Monday, countries have to invest three to six times more than currently agreed in measures to reduce greenhouse gases. If that does not happen, the climate goals will be far out of reach. That is this week’s alarming message from the United Nations. 

An abrupt and disorderly transition to a low carbon economy risks disrupting the financial system as a sudden implementation of climate change mitigation policies can increase transition risks, a new European Central Bank study said on Friday.

The ECB’s researchers raised the prospect of “severe banking system losses” if no additional policy action is taken. These losses could reach “up to 40 percent more” compared to a baseline scenario where no policy action is taken.

Just a few weeks after the UN climate conference COP26 in Glasgow, one of the European Commission’s most important initiatives in recent years is under fire: the “EU Taxonomy”. The reason is a number of EU Member States that want to admit natural gas - and even nuclear energy - to the list of green energy sources. Europe suddenly risks becoming “the laggard of the world”, critics have warned.

The exuberance in the equity markets is a little too much for the managers of JP Morgan’s €6 billion Global Macro Opportunities Fund. “This was the reason for the investors to increase the number of short positions in shares, via options on the S&P 500 and individual short positions in a few individual titles. We’ve reduced the risk”, said Nicola Rawlinson in an interview with Fondsnieuws, Investment Officer Luxembourg’s Dutch sister publication. 

As an example of the pressure put on the financial sector to respond to the urgency of climate change, Dutch education and government sector employee pension fund ABP is tightening up its investment policy. They explain this move by referring to reports on the climate crisis that have shown that it must move faster, and supporters are calling for action to be taken.