Amundi: A monetary policy mistake is now the biggest risk

A monetary policy mistake is now a very big risk about which markets are not taking sufficient account. Tightening at the wrong time could trigger a recession. The first half of the year was very positive, but you also have to dare to take profits. Inflation will be more persistent than generally assumed. Caution is therefore advised.

‘Blue Wave yield spike has run its course’

In the aftermath of the surprise Democrat win in the Georgia Senate run-offs earlier this month, 10-year Treasury yield surged above the 1%-mark. It seemed investors were anticipating a large fiscal stimulus by the incoming Biden administration. But Nick Maroutsos, head of global bonds at Janus Henderson Investors, does not believe rates will go up much further from here.