Triple-A tango

Last Friday, it finally happened: Moody’s—the last credit rating agency still holding on to a shred of faith in Uncle Sam—downgraded the United States from AAA to Aa1. America is now officially among the ranks of “almost-but-not-quite-perfect” countries. It’s a bit like a high school student going from a 10 to a 9.5—still excellent, but mom and dad are disappointed nonetheless.

Morningstar: Lord Abbett versus Neuberger Berman in USD high yield

The US economy contracted at a rate of 0.3 percent in the first quarter of 2025. The slowdown in GDP growth was driven by a surge in imports, as US firms attempted to front-run tariffs. The first-quarter decline marks a sharp turn for the economy after GDP grew at a 2.4 percent annual rate in the fourth quarter of 2024.

For Nassim Taleb, averages are completely irrelevant

In the world of finance, averages are useless. Concepts like extrapolation, correlation, and diversification do little more than invite disaster—or, at the very least, significantly lower returns than are otherwise achievable. “Modern portfolio theory is bullshit,” declared Nassim Taleb, the legendary author of The Black Swan.

Chart of the week: The weakest link

Remember that BBC quiz show with the notoriously blunt Anne Robinson, who ended each round with the line, “You are the weakest link. Goodbye”? In The Weakest Link, the contestant deemed weakest by the others was eliminated—on the logic that a weak player could damage the prize pot. That sounds rather economic. So why is the European Central Bank (ECB) doing the exact opposite?

Allianz GI lifts ban on defence stocks in ESG push

As Europe boosts defence spending and investors adapt to geopolitical uncertainty, Allianz Global Investors has adjusted its sustainability criteria to include certain defence-related investments. Firms with more than 10 percent of their turnover from defence equipment and those that produce nuclear weapons now are considered eligible.

Fund selection: what if private banks and fund houses are family?

Can private clients still trust that their bank’s advice is objective when that bank also owns a stake in the fund house behind the recommended products? The question is becoming more pressing across Europe, including Luxembourg, where private banks and fund distributors sit at the crossroads of European asset flows.