AI dampens inflation, markets underestimate impact on rates

AI is quietly reshaping the cost base of the US economy by replacing labour and making processes more efficient. In services in particular, this is reducing unit labour costs and easing inflationary pressures. The bond market, however, has yet to fully recognise the policy room this creates for the Federal Reserve.

Chart of the week: J-curve or U-turn

For over ten years, I’ve been writing articles for investors, economists, and anyone with even the slightest interest in the financial markets. Extremely negative stories, stories about the issues of the day, or stories with sensational headlines tend to do particularly well. Although I’m occasionally lumped into the first category, I’m usually not very good at writing those kinds of stories. But today I have a topic that tops the charts every day: Artificial Intelligence.

‘Euro stablecoin stands or falls with support from major banks’

A dozen major European banks have joined forces to offer a euro stablecoin to clients by the end of this year. “We have a better chance of creating a broadly supported stablecoin than fintechs,” said Floris Lugt, CFO of Qivalis, the joint venture that will issue the crypto payment instrument.

Chart of the week: inflation peak

I have been watching the financial markets with some amazement for the past few weeks. A US president threatening the eradication of an entire society, while equity markets remain largely unchanged. Then a fresh TACO triggers a recovery rally of several percent, even though there is nothing more than a two-week ceasefire and ongoing uncertainty. For anyone looking even slightly ahead, a clear bump appears that we will all have to get over.