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Chart of the week: stagflation stress

The markets were already on edge, and there seems to be little sign of that changing any time soon. Geopolitical tensions have reached fever pitch, culminating in an outright shouting match in the Oval Office in Washington. This development could have significant consequences, as Trump currently appears unwilling to provide aid to Ukraine.

Morningstar: Pimco versus Invesco in global investment-grade corporate bonds

Yields on 10-year US treasury bonds and government bonds in Europe remained high coming into 2025, and continued with 2024’s historically tight spread levels versus corporate credit. Still, some investors appear reluctant to take large directional macro bets as uncertainty around the possibility of policy changes in the US remains high.

Future of private banking

Luxembourg private banks are under pressure. Costs are skyrocketing, regulations are becoming stricter and a shortage of talent threatens competitiveness. According to Yves Stein, president of the Luxembourg bankers’ association ABBL, digitization and automation are crucial to working more efficiently, but many banks are lagging behind larger, universal players. The question is not if, but how quickly the industry can adapt to remain relevant in an increasingly competitive market.