bonds

The ISM Manufacturing Index is not only an important indicator of future growth, but is also highly correlated with market returns. What many investors overlook: it’s not just correlated with equity returns, but also bonds.

By using indicators that say something about the direction of the ISM Manufacturing Index to define different ISM scenarios, you can derive implied returns for each asset class.

Many investors are on the fence about re-entering the badly battered bond market when the bottom may be near. The smart ones will want to enter the market well before interest rates hit their peak, says Michael Gitlin, partner and head of fixed income at Capital Group.

This will probably be the worst but also the best year for bonds ever. Rising interest rates and credit spreads are causing hefty price losses. Inflation is a bond investor’s worst enemy and it is skyrocketing. The fact that interest rates and credit spreads are rising fast is good for bond investors in the long run. Panic and volatility always create opportunities.

Europe’s biggest fund manager, Amundi, is telling investors that it is time to get back into the bond market. And it believes that reports of the death of the 60-40 portfolio are greatly exaggerated. That theory merely has spent time in the freezer, said Vincent Mortier, Amundi’s chief investment officer.

“Bond is back, and not only on screen,” Mortier jokingly told journalists in a media call on Tuesday.

You may not have noticed it while on holiday this summer, but Italy is once again in crisis. Political risks make for an uncertain economic outlook. This week, we look at the top 5 bond funds with the highest exposure to the battered Italy debt markets.

Keith Ney of Carmignac has said stock markets are still in a favourable climate. China remains an interesting country in which to invest, both for equities and bonds.

Ney joined the Strategic Investment Committee of Carmignac in April 2021. He has developed particular expertise in bonds and their place in a portfolio. His long career with the French manager has given him expertise in both equities and bonds. In addition to his role on the committee, he is direct co-manager of the Carmignac Patrimoine Europe fund.

BlackRock calls the new status quo in the global economy ‘New Nominal’. “The ’New Nominal’ is the situation in which higher inflation no longer causes sharply rising interest rates, and dangers for corrections in the stock markets are lower,” said Lukas Daalder, chief investment strategist at BlackRock, in an interview with Investment Officer Luxembourg’s sister publication, Fondsnieuws.nl. The reason is the 2021 Mid-year Outlook that was published last week.