Is a recession on the way?
The yield curves on the global bond markets flattened dramatically during the second half of October. When flattening is followed by inversion of the yield curves, a recession is inevitable. This ominous development is causing concern in the market, but are the concerns justified?
Commentary: Time is running out and inflation is rising
Only the first statement is certain. The first half of 2021 has gone by so quickly that we haven’t had a chance to pay proper attention to all the exciting economic and financial developments. Economic indicators have shown unprecedented recovery in both the U.S. and Europe in the first six months of 2021, resulting in exponential growth expectations for corporate earnings on both sides of the Atlantic. The European industrial outlook, in particular, is taking off.