Outlook 2022

In its outlook for 2022, JP Morgan Asset Management makes no bones about the fact that equities remain attractive, even if inflation sticks around a bit longer than expected. In times of inflation and negative real interest rates, equities have almost never given a negative return in the past, according to JP Morgan’s outlook with chief strategist Vincent Juvyns (photo).

European equities are very attractive right now with a risk premium of around 7 per cent. To navigate in this environment, a barbell strategy between long and short duration equities is appropriate. In this way, one can intelligently combine growth and value.

The current inflation surge is similar to the one after World War II. It then took two years for inflation to cool. Long-term interest rates should start to rise, according to the online Outlook 2022 conference organised by Candriam. Anton Brender and Florence Pisani, both economists, conducted the webinar.

Quintet Private Bank has become more positive on Asia, both strategically and tactically. In the short term, the bank said that it believes that Asian high yield bonds currently offer better risk-adjusted returns than either China or Asian equities. The bank’s Bill Street said this on Tuesday during an outlook presentation and in a reply to additional questions from Fondsnieuws, Investment Officer Luxembourg’s sister publication.

Real assets like stocks and real estate are expensive but remain a way to maintain purchasing power. And inflation will remain high. This is BNP Paribas’ outlook as explained by Philippe Gijsels, chief strategist, and Koen De Leus, chief economist.