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yield curves

On the way to a new recession?

Submitted by raymond.frenke… on Mon, 21 Feb 2022 - 14:00
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The difference between US 10-year and 2-year yields has fallen to around 45 basis points. That is a flattening of the US yield curve of almost a full percentage point in the last four months. It raises the question of whether a new recession is imminent.

Is a recession on the way?

Submitted by mike.gordon@in… on Mon, 20 Dec 2021 - 11:57
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The yield curves on the global bond markets flattened dramatically during the second half of October. When flattening is followed by inversion of the yield curves, a recession is inevitable. This ominous development is causing concern in the market, but are the concerns justified?

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