trade balance

Trump’s tariff push revives an old trade theory — and investors should pay attention to what Samuelson really meant.

Virginie Maisonneuve, global CIO equity at Allianz Global Investors explains why ‘Digital Darwinism’—the interplay of technology, tariffs, and trust—is driving supply chain shifts and market realignments.

After consistently recording fat pluses over the past decade, the euro area’s trade balance has sunk deep into the red. For years, international trade contributed substantially to economic growth in the euro area. But: “Das war einmal”.

A historic surge in expensive energy imports now that gas supplies from Russia have been completely cut off results in a heavily negative trade balance. As a result, trade is now dragging down growth and pushing up the already sky-high risk of recession further.

Germany has unexpectedly reported its first trade deficit since 1991. The reversal of the trade balance in Europe’s largest economy shows how difficult it is for German companies to handle rising costs of oil and gas. Economists at ABN Amro and Nomura meanwhile expect Europe will enter into a recession.