ECB must choose: a global euro or no strong euro. It cannot have both
The European Central Bank (ECB) finds it wonderful to see that the euro is gaining popularity around the world, now that the image of the US and, in its wake, the dollar, is suffering from US policy and the country’s stance on the global stage.
Prediction markets prove accurate enough to help investors, German study finds
Academic researchers in Europe and the United States are finding that prices on Polymarket, a fast-growing online prediction market, can track real-world outcomes with surprising accuracy. The findings suggest such platforms could become a useful tool for professional investors.
Transfers: Amundi, AEW (Natixis IM), Blackrock
This weeks people moves update from Investment Officer.
The limits of Trump
Donald Trump likes to present himself as a leader guided by instinct and personal conviction. International treaties, diplomatic traditions, and established norms are, in his view, merely suggestions that he can ignore at will. This attitude lies at the heart of his political identity: America first, and whatever Trump believes is good for America is what will happen.
AI accelerates markets, not volatility
As a growing part of the financial community questions whether artificial intelligence has created a bubble, Fabiana Fedeli takes a different view. The CIO for Equities, Multi-Asset and Sustainability at M&G Investments argues that AI is not the source of a fundamental market imbalance, but rather acts as an accelerator of price adjustments in an environment that has become extremely fast-moving.
The expectations paradox
When everyone expects the same thing, it is time to think differently. A good example comes from Value Line, a company that makes stock market forecasts. They predict higher returns when valuations are low. Individual investors do exactly the opposite.
Chart of the week: you wouldn’t expect it, would you
An insignificant Danish pension fund dumps all its US Treasuries. Financial media eagerly jump on this headline, because that is not something most investors would just expect. About the underlying structural cause, which has little to do with a president gone off the rails, you hear a lot less.
Morningstar: NinetyOne vs Morgan Stanley in global emerging markets bonds
Local currency government bonds in Latin America and South Africa had a strong year in 2025, while major Asian countries lagged the broader market.
Transfers: Oddo BHF, CSSF, Ogier, Partners, Apollo, FundSight
The latest appointments and people transfers in Luxembourg and elsewhere’s in Europe’s investment industry.
Luxembourg becomes a focal point in European wealth management
Luxembourg is increasingly becoming an operational necessity rather than a strategic option. From independent wealth structuring firms such as Norman K to larger private banking groups including Rothschild Martin Maurel, institutions are reinforcing their presence in the grand duchy to serve an increasingly international client base amid growing cross-border complexity and regulatory pressure.