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The dollar remains king

The US dollar has experienced a spectacular decline in recent months. Investors call it a correction, analysts see a turning point, and pessimists even predict the end of dollar hegemony. But let’s pause for a moment. While the dollar is indeed falling rapidly, it is far from collapsing.

Triple-A tango

Last Friday, it finally happened: Moody’s—the last credit rating agency still holding on to a shred of faith in Uncle Sam—downgraded the United States from AAA to Aa1. America is now officially among the ranks of “almost-but-not-quite-perfect” countries. It’s a bit like a high school student going from a 10 to a 9.5—still excellent, but mom and dad are disappointed nonetheless.

Über-capitalist becomes communist

One fascinating espionage technique during the Cold War was the “sleeper mole.” These were Soviet agents who operated inconspicuously in the West for years—sometimes even decades—awaiting activation. To avoid being recognized as communists, these moles had to cultivate the opposite image. In the eyes of Soviet strategists, the perfect cover? An extreme capitalist: someone who lines his house with gold, plasters his name in gold letters on buildings, and constantly boasts about wealth and success.

Safe havens in investment portfolios

The prospect of foreign investors reducing their exposure to U.S. assets due to concerns about the dominance of U.S. Treasuries as a safe haven is fueling discussions about the very concept of a safe haven. Significant shifts in correlations between various asset classes, particularly between U.S. equities and the dollar, are at the heart of this debate.

When the bubble bursts

On 10 March 2000, the Nasdaq peaked at 5048.6 points – a moment that no one recognised as such at the time, but which, in retrospect, marked the beginning of a freefall that would wipe out 77 percent of the market’s value. Now, 25 years later, inevitable parallels arise between the dotcom hype and the current AI revolution. But are these comparisons justified?