AI’s next winners probably won’t be tech-companies, says Vanguard’s head of research

If history is any guide, the artificial intelligence boom will not be those who build the technology, but those who deploy it. That is the view of Kevin Khang, head of global economic research at Vanguard. He argues that today’s market narrative risks mistaking the early winners for the ultimate ones.

Galactic American IPOs set to test passive investors as index rules shift

A wave of massive initial public offerings, including SpaceX, Anthropic and OpenAI, is set to hit US equity markets just as index providers move to fast-track their inclusion. Asset managers expect this combination could inject fresh volatility into passive investment strategies.

Iran conflict hits Miran’s housing assumption

The conflict between the US and Iran is hitting the core of the Federal Reserve’s rate strategy. The one factor that was keeping rate cuts alive, falling housing costs, is now under pressure. Fed governor Stephen Miran’s bet that housing costs would keep falling fast enough to justify lower Fed rates is now being tested in the worst possible way.

Middle East: Banks not overexposed, but their borrowers might be

European banks have little direct exposure to the Middle East, says European credit rating agency Scope. However, as tensions in the region threaten to push up energy prices and slow economic growth, the risks for lenders may emerge elsewhere: in the balance sheets of the companies they finance.