The growing gap between earnings calls and stock prices in private credit
The already downward-trending stock prices of major US private credit firms took another hit this month amid the markdown of the software sector and concerns about AI. While executives are trying to contain those concerns, analysts say market participants may already be pricing in risks that could affect clients later.
Japan: from lost decades to profitable reflation
The election result in Japan was historic. For the first time since World War II, one party secured a two-thirds majority in parliament. Prime Minister Takaichi can now implement her plans without the compromises that have so often paralyzed Japanese politics. The stock markets responded positively: prices rose and records were broken. This is the first effect of the coming reflation on Japan’s financial markets.
‘High-quality corporate bonds are expensive, but still attractive’
Rising budget deficits have caused government bonds to lose much of their appeal as a safe haven for investors. High-quality corporate bonds have subsequently moved up the ranks. Has the rally run its course? Samuel Gruen, fixed income specialist at Rothschild & Co Asset Management, examined the European market from a historical perspective.
Patchwork quilt of European taxes on wealth expands
With the Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamerlid) passing the Actual Return Box 3 Act last week, the Netherlands will introduce “paper gains” as a basis for taxation starting in 2028. That is entirely unique in Europe. The patchwork of solutions Europe has devised for this tax will therefore gain a new addition.
ETF Snapshot: A record month to kick off the new year
Strong start to 2026: January posted record net inflows, lifting EMEA ETF AUM to US$3.38tn. Value rotation continues with steady interest in non‑US exposures. Two new launches: EUR AT1 CoCo Bonds and Nasdaq‑100 Income Advantage ETFs.
Chart of the week: Olympic mindset
Here in Milan, during the Olympic Games, only one thing matters: winning. In geopolitics, the battle for victory has now been pushed to an unprecedented level. But whether we in rustic Europe are truly aware of that, I wonder.
Schroders ends 222 years of family control in US takeover
Schroders has agreed to a 9.9 billion pound (11.4 billion euro) takeover by US-based Nuveen, ending 222 years of family ownership and marking a further shift in global asset management toward American dominance.
Morningstar: Guinness versus T. Rowe Price in global equity, ft. software exposure
The disruptive potential of AI has caused havoc among software companies in recent weeks.
Convergence in European government bonds seen near its limits
Spreads on European government bonds are at their lowest level since 2008. The periphery is benefiting from structural growth and European subsidies, while core countries such as France and Germany are weakening. Investors are wondering how much of that convergence remains once the carry trade turns.
Are robo advisors becoming Skynet?
Robo advisory platforms have quietly moved from novelty to infrastructure. What began as simple ETF portfolios is evolving into something far more powerful: discreet, algorithm-driven portfolios built at the individual investor level, often embedded inside universal banks that already control distribution, data, and trust.