Asset Managers

The yield curves on the global bond markets flattened dramatically during the second half of October. When flattening is followed by inversion of the yield curves, a recession is inevitable. This ominous development is causing concern in the market, but are the concerns justified?

The business outlook for next year is characterised by concerns about inflation. Is it a temporary phenomenon linked to problems in the supply chain as consumer demand has picked up again this year? Or is it permanent? Central bankers are considering their usual anti-inflation tool, interest rate hikes and the removal of public measures to stimulate the economy. According to US economist Robert Reich, the real problem is more a matter of regulatory failure in the area of competition law.

Quiet optimism in the Luxembourg fund industry suggests that proposed tweaks to the ELTIF regime could unlock this concept’s potential. Wealth managers report growing demand for funds that can give clients exposure to alternative strategies, and new suggested changes could do the trick.

With a return of 46 per cent year-to-date, the ACATIS Datini Valueflex is on a roll this year. The 10 per cent allocation to cryptos, via an investment in three crypto ETFs and a direct investment in Coinbase, have helped considerably. But at the top is vaccine maker BioNTech, which is responsible for 11 per cent of the return, according to a conversation with fund manager Hendrik Leber (pictured), who called the fund the “chilli pepper of an investment portfolio”. 

The ongoing, rapid consolidation in asset management is exposing problems around rebranding. “Crucial” is untangling one’s own story from broader sector narratives, in this jumble of mergers and acquisitions. 

It takes a lot of guts to come up with the proposition that this is the moment to shift the emphasis from growth to value stocks. But John Bailer, US equity income manager at Newton Investment Management, is certain. The reason: structural changes in the macroeconomy. Soaring inflation, for example, is giving rise to a veritable “value renaissance”.

Cryptocurrencies are causing the European Central Bank increasing concern. This exotic market segment operates outside the domain of central banks and, according to specialists, can undermine monetary and financial stability. This form of alternative liquidity is a highly undesirable development, according to Sylvester Eijffinger, emeritus professor of financial economics at Tilburg University and visiting professor at Harvard University’s economics department.

In the Luxembourg financial and innovation sectors, blockchain is often discussed a key element in the financial industry’s future, mentioned alongside artificial intelligence as a way of promoting digitalisation and cutting unnecessary costs. But some who are familiar with the technology as part of the Bitcoin cryptocurrency have said that blockchain is a poor choice for this sort of application.

Just a few weeks after the UN climate conference COP26 in Glasgow, one of the European Commission’s most important initiatives in recent years is under fire: the “EU Taxonomy”. The reason is a number of EU Member States that want to admit natural gas - and even nuclear energy - to the list of green energy sources. Europe suddenly risks becoming “the laggard of the world”, critics have warned.

Qontigo has already built more than ten thousand indices, commissioned by asset owners such as APG and Willis Towers Watson and asset managers such as BlackRock. Institutional investors increasingly want a customised index that is in line with their own investment objectives, according to Arun Singhal of Qontigo.

Investors have a greater need for insight, transparency and control, he explained. “That’s what “we” have in everyday life too. So why not about our investments?”