Chart of the Week: a chart that argues against a recession
A new (American) recession remains a hot topic. And it’s understandable because a significant series of interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, coupled with an inverted yield curve, typically leads to economic trouble. You’d need a well-supported “this time is different” argument to claim there’s no chance of a recession.
Don't invest in banks, except those from Japan
If you want to generate returns through stocks, focus on companies that achieve a higher return on invested capital than it costs to raise that capital. This is the essence of value creation.
Chart of the week: The great rebalancing
Government bonds have long enjoyed a special place in investors’ portfolios. Often seen as a cornerstone of stability, their appeal as a safe haven is rarely questioned.
Unfortunately, this is not the end of the carry trade
The Bank of Japan unexpectedly raised interest rates, and for those who did expect it, the increase was larger than expected. And so “all hell broke loose”.
Luxembourg labyrinth: Daisy Mae’s quest to launch a fund
Daisy Mae faces a complex journey launching a railway investment fund in Luxembourg amidst regulatory challenges and tight deadlines.
Time to question the central bank herd mentality
Central bank analysis rarely goes beyond predicting the timing of the next interest rate step and the total number of interest rate steps that will be implemented over a given period, writes Jeroen Blokland.
JD Vance as the new power player
Trump’s pick of James David Vance, better known as J.D. Vance, as vice-presidential candidate markets a firm shift.
Schade Deutschland, alles ist vorbei
Columnist Jeroen Blokland takes a look at persistently declining industrial production in Germany.
The vanished housing market
House prices in Europe are soaring to historic highs, but supply isn’t meeting demand, creating a critical housing market crisis.
Ferrytales
It is high time for asset managers to reassess their private equity allocations, argues Jeroen Blokland.