Powell’s Predicament
The recent inflation bombshell must have rattled Powell and his cohorts, throwing a wrench into their plans for imminent rate cuts in pursuit of a smooth economic descent. Equities, too, find themselves on shakier ground.
Regulators watch too many sci-fi movies
Expecting firms covered by DORA to possess the skills, time, and capacity to function as ICT experts is yet another regulatory demand that offers little in terms of investor protection. The added layers of control imposed on investment firms are poised to escalate costs far more than they bolster safeguards.
Eurozone and the US are out of sync
The economies of the Euro area and the US often move in tandem due to their similar structures and deep economic connections. However, divergences occur, notably during asymmetric shocks like the Euro crisis of 2011-2013.
Famous last words
It’s fascinating to observe central bankers like Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell outside their usual realm, especially on platforms like CBS’s “60 Minutes.” Powell’s candid admission about the US being on an unsustainable fiscal path is a concern is shared by many investors, including myself, particularly regarding the sustainability of mounting debt used to stimulate economic growth.
The law of increasing excess returns
The landscape of the technology industry has been dramatically reshaped since the onset of the coronavirus crisis, with big tech companies witnessing their operating profit margins leap from 24 to 29 percent. In stark contrast, other companies have seen a decline of two percentage points in the same period. This trend, far from fostering competition, is solidifying a ‘winner-takes-all’ economy.
Is it really different this time?
“I’ve got to say, I’m usually skeptical of the phrase “This time is different.” More often than not, it’s not. But the persistent strength of the U.S. economy, particularly the job market, is making me think twice. Maybe this time really is different.
The time for true green investing is now
As the global investment community grapples with a fluctuating market and evolving attitudes towards ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) funds, a nuanced story is emerging from Europe. This narrative, against the backdrop of Amundi’s “Responsible Investment Views 2024” report and innovative steps by Mirova and Robeco, is further illuminated by Morningstar’s latest findings on global sustainable fund flows.
ECB Watch: A turbulent 25th anniversary
What an extraordinary month the first month of this year proved to be for the European Central Bank (ECB), indeed! To begin, this month marked the 25th anniversary of the euro’s inception. To commemorate this milestone, major newspapers across eurozone countries published an article by ECB President Christine Lagarde, among others, just before the year-end.
Bizarre policies!
With many aspects, a distant perspective can be quite enlightening. This certainly applies to monetary policy, in my view. The more I distance myself, the more evident it becomes that for some central banks, debt management, rather than inflation – as officially proclaimed – is their primary objective. Japan is a prime example.
Authorised roles: Increased costs, questionable benefits
A thriving fund industry rests on the foundation of a robust regulatory framework, assuring investors that their assets will be safeguarded against misappropriation. Nevertheless, the pursuit of greater protection often accompanies higher fees, prompting investors to scrutinise regulatory requirements for tangible and effective outcomes.