Christine Lagarde has always remained a politician
Faithful readers of this column know that I am deeply concerned about the politicization of the European Central Bank (ECB). Lessons from monetary history and piles of academic research support that concern: we simply know that a central bank that listens to what politicians want is bad news for inflation in the medium term.
Het einde van de macrobelegger
Als er iets is dat de beleggingswereld kenmerkt, dan is het dat die vol zit met clichés, papegaaien en een enorme tegenzin als het gaat om verandering. Het is soms lachwekkend hoe beursexperts twintig jaar lang dezelfde oneliners produceren of je bedelven onder hun ‘beurswijsheden’.
From Middle East uncertainty to Singapore and Luxembourg
As geopolitical tensions rise, capital is quietly repositioning. Luxembourg is emerging as a European anchor for globally minded family offices, with Singapore reinforcing the shift from the Asian side.
Wars drive innovation
Necessity breaks laws, but it also breaks existing patterns, paradigms, and drives innovation. Necessity is, after all, the mother of invention. Not abundance or curiosity, but circumstances in which delay is not an option.
The carbon premium that never existed
Imagine this: you predict stock returns for January 2026 using company data from all of 2026. Data that only becomes available during that year (or even afterward). Sounds absurd? Yet this is exactly the methodological foundation of one of the most cited findings in climate finance: the carbon premium.
Chart of the week: laffer’s line
The signals that citizens and businesses are willing to leave their country if the tax burden becomes high enough are increasing rapidly. As a result, an economic theory that is already fifty years old—and long dismissed as meaningless fantasy—is suddenly taking center stage.
Playing with the optimal investment mix
An unprecedented wealth transfer is underway. Over the next two decades, an estimated 124,000 billion dollar in assets will shift globally from the baby boomer generation to younger generations.
The rise of sales-as-a-service
Financial services firms increasingly test new markets through sales-as-a-service models, relying on experienced industry connectors instead of building costly local teams. Luxembourg’s global ecosystem makes this approach particularly relevant.
Chart of the week: the hidden cost of Trump’s war
The price of a barrel of crude oil surged past the $100 mark as the situation in the Middle East escalated further. A small price to pay, according to the president of the United States. Yet I suspect Trump is taking too narrow a view of the true cost of this new military intervention – if he is even considering those costs at all.
The new equity analyst is called Claude. But he can’t do everything
Write a prompt asking Claude to act like an investor who wants to know everything about a company. Upload the quarterly results of a business you follow. Click. Wait fifteen minutes. And there it is: an investment memo with a cash-flow model, scenario analysis, a risk overview and a valuation framework. Neatly structured.