Chart of the week: Red-hot

The US economy created more than half a million jobs in January. That was almost three (!) times more than expected. Most importantly, such a job growth figure does not fit with a coming recession, but neither does it fit with a much hoped-for soft landing. On the contrary.

It indicates that the US labour market is still glowing even after 450 basis points of tightening.

Luxembourg discusses new Eltif tax regime as Strasbourg votes

As the European Parliament, during this month’s plenary session in Strasbourg, debated the proposed changes to the EU’s regulation for long-term investment funds, a plan also known as Eltif 2.0, Luxembourg was discussing a “lighter” special tax regime for this new type of fund that can target investors in 30 European countries under a single passport.

Morgan Stanley CIO sees a ‘bear market bounce’

Stocks have continued their rebound into 2023, delivering one of the best openings to a calendar year since January 2000. Morgan Stanley however believes the gains are just another bear market bounce. 

The inverted yield curve in the US, the curious outperformance of gold, and falling demand for oil in the US are three factors that warrant particular attention, Lisa Shalett, Morgan Stanley’s chief investment officer , told investors this week.

Luxembourg to discuss expert groups on Ukraine recovery

As an international financial hub, Luxembourg is seen as well positioned to play a key role in talks about strengthening and financing the recovery of Ukraine’s economy once the war is over. A Luxembourg roundtable, scheduled for 22 February, will discuss Luxembourg’s potential role and seeks to create a number of expert-based working groups.  (Free to read)

State Street: Private markets appeal to European investors

Private markets, in particular those for digital infrastructure investments, continue to appeal to European institutional investors, according to a global survey among 480 institutional investors presented on Tuesday by State Street. The survey also shows that European investors are a bit more reluctant than others to invest in private equity.

Markets entering riskier phase, Amundi tells investors

Global financial markets are entering a riskier phase where some corporate earnings could disappoint while opportunities remain in China, emerging markets and investment grade bonds, Europe’s biggest asset manager Amundi said.

In their February note to investors, Amundi’s group chief investment officer Vincent Mortier and deputy group CIO Matteo Germano spoke of a subdued earnings and economic backdrop that calls for a cautious, well-diversified approach.