'Shopping centre valuations are 30-40% too high'

External valuations of retail properties are unreliable. Our models indicate considerably lower prices and therefore much higher debt ratios, says real estate specialist of Egbert Nijmeijer of Kempen Capital Management.

Retail property has been hit hard by the coronavirus crisis. Nevertheless, external surveyors were remarkably lenient in their half-yearly valuations. For example, for Eurocommercial Properties and Klépierre, which operate comparable medium-sized shopping centres in Europe, the downward revaluation was limited to just under 3%.

 Analysis: value traps hold back European equity recovery

 The prices of European banking stocks have fallen to their lowest level in more than 30 years. The banks are weighing on a further recovery of the European indices, which have too few ‘asset light’ business models.

Until 30 September, the return of the European banking index stood at -43.66%. Over the past three years, the return is -24.39% and over the past five years it’s -13.36%.

'Global equities have 75% upside potential'

Global equities can rise by up to 75% over the next five years driven by profit growth, according to Knut Gezelius, lead manager of the Skagen Global fund.

Skagen is known for its active, value-based investment philosophy. But if you look at the largest positions of the global equity fund, you’ll mostly see prominent growth stocks such as Microsoft, Adobe, Alphabet and Mastercard. What happened?

‘Real equity returns of 7-10% still possible post-Covid’

Solid growth companies will continue to live up to high expectations by showing strong profit growth. This offers the prospect of an attractive total return after inflation of 7-10% per annum on average over the long term, according to manager George Dent of the BNY Mellon Long-Term Global Equity Fund.