Housing shortage: high prices, less growth

Skyrocketing mortgage rates and astronomical house prices make it almost impossible for the average American to buy a house. So activity declines. The result is a drag on growth.

The US 30-year mortgage rate, while falling slightly, is still close to its highest level in more than 23 years. Nevertheless, house prices have risen to record highs after a brief dip. This is only nice if you own a house, because otherwise it is an unfavourable combination economically.

Euphoria!

Let me begin by stating my agreement that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to raise interest rates imminently. However, basing this expectation solely on the latest inflation figures seems overly optimistic. The recent data, after all, were not exceptionally positive.

The overstated impact of AI on productivity growth

If you’re a regular on platforms like X or LinkedIn, you’ve likely encountered those attention-grabbing posts proclaiming, “If you’re not using AI, you’re left behind” or “My boss thinks I’m an AI genius, but it’s because of this…” followed by a link to some Substack or website. Such posts, often cheap advertising, may overstate the productivity boost from Artificial Intelligence (AI).

Roadblocks in asset management software procurement

The typical reasons that prompt asset managers to acquire new software often include recommendations from regulators following an onsite visit or the realisation that their current resources cannot efficiently handle projected workloads. These decisions are predominantly reactive, seldom proactive, writes Gregory Kennedy in his latest column for Investment Officer Luxembourg.

Make America Great Again 2.0

In a thought-provoking piece from May 2018, I penned a commentary here titled ‘Make America Great Again’, promptly re-titled by the editor to ‘Rabobank: Trump is good for economy and stock market’. Reflecting on it now, I am mostly financially appreciative. To clarify, today’s discourse is not about Amazonian deforestation but Donald Trump once more.

Firesale in China!

China faces a complex challenge as it aims to further stimulate its economy amidst a relentless property crisis while avoiding the repercussions of a devalued currency. It’s a delicate tightrope walk that could see the nation persistently offloading US bonds and equities.

The Chinese government is poised to inject an additional one trillion yuan into its faltering economy. The persistent property sector woes show no signs of abating and are now seeping into banking, construction, and retail.