Opinion

In 1908, there were 16,000 Luxembourgish immigrants living in Chicago. They were extremely poor and needed to emigrate to survive. Today, people emigrate to Luxembourg for different reasons. It’s more about thriving rather than surviving.

Without immigration, there would be no fund industry, there is a constant need to attract talent from abroad. Amazingly, only 20% of the local population works in the private sector. Probably even less in the fund industry.

The CSSF has spent the last decade ramping up reporting requirements on fund management companies. In response, the fund industry has invested heavily in automation and now most reports are generated automatically. 

If only this was true! 

Once upon a time in 2013, Luxembourg launched the conversion of the EU directive on alternative investment fund managers (AIFMD) into its national law. It ultimately culminates, alongside the conversion of other European countries of the AIFMD, into the first globally regulated environment for alternative investment funds (AIFs).

A recession is what usually concerns many investors, and economists. But exactly how they estimate the probability of a recession is often unclear to me. And sometimes not much of the “approach” is correct either. Given the significant potential impact on different asset classes, it makes sense to attempt to get a grip on it myself.

It is striking how bad economists are at predicting a recession. They have shouted so many times now that a recession is coming, that they have just dug in and knowingly stuck to this tunnel vision.

The implementation of the AIFMD, the European directive for alternative investment funds managers, in 2011 can be seen as the starting point for the transition to a greater degree of specialisation. The requirements in this directive have increased the cost of obtaining an AIFM licence to a point such that a licence often no longer is viable for smaller fund boutiques. As a result, the use of ManCos has become even more popular for tangible assets such as real estate.

There has been a clear shift from public markets to private markets. Private markets are no longer an opportunistic satellite, but are now the core of the investment portfolio. 

The workings of financial markets never cease to amaze from time to time. Especially when they decide to systematically deny the elephant in the room. Equity investors are often blamed for this behaviour, but high-yield investors can also have some of it at the moment. 

If there is anything consensus after the demise of Silicon Valley Bank, it is surely that the outflow of bank deposits is leading to tighter lending requirements. Not least because loan-to-deposit ratios have increased.

It was when the Netherlands, Belgium and Luxembourg signed the customs union that a geographical area at the heart of Europe was defined. The aim was to promote economic integration and cooperation between the three member states. 

Since then, Benelux has been one of the most successful regional integration models, both in terms of economic growth and political stability. This success is also rooted in the creation of a solid legal framework that provides a stable and transparent business environment.

This week, the European Central Bank published its ‘Monetary developments in the euro area’ report. And with that, we finally got information on bank deposits in the euro area.

European deposits look a lot better on an aggregate level than in America. Unlike in the United States, where bank deposits are down 3 per cent from a year ago, Eurozone deposits are still growing. That means the risks of traditional bank runs are lower here.