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Chart of the Week: a chart that argues against a recession

A new (American) recession remains a hot topic. And it’s understandable because a significant series of interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, coupled with an inverted yield curve, typically leads to economic trouble. You’d need a well-supported “this time is different” argument to claim there’s no chance of a recession.

Trump 2.0

Donald Trump still leads in the polls. This has sparked a surge in so-called ‘Trump trades,’ reminiscent of market reactions seen during his previous tenure.