Finally, a stir

The stock markets have had a fantastic rally. And while I am all for rising prices, it has also been a bit boring at times. But with the latest set of macro figures, things are getting a bit more exciting again, with a likely good outcome as a result.

I have regularly been called a “permabear” over the past 12 months, if not longer. Because even though the US economy in particular was steaming ahead, the chances of a recession have never been zero, in my opinion. 

ECB cuts, does not commit to next steps amid persistent inflation

The European Central Bank’s (ECB) decision to cut its benchmark interest rate for the first time since 2019 underscores a strategic but cautious approach to managing persistent inflation in the Eurozone. “The ECB did not pre-commit to a specific path for further interest rate cuts,” Ulrike Kastens, Europe economist at Europe’s third-biggest asset manager DWS, told investors.

House prices defy predictions

US house prices have climbed over 6% in the past year, pushing the value of homes nearly 3% above their peak from June 2022. This increase came despite the Federal Reserve’s aggressive interest rate hikes aimed at curbing rampant inflation. Clearly, the traditional models for predicting house prices are no longer reliable.