Investing

Mutual funds saw net outflows last month at a rate of more than one billion euro per day, while firms selling Exchange Traded Funds experienced a small level of net inflows, according to new data from Refinitiv Lipper. 

Mutual funds experienced net outflows of 32.3 billion euro last month, compared to net inflows of 2.5 billion for Exchange Traded Funds.

Increasing variations in interest rates on government bonds the Eurozone have reawakened fears of bankruptcy in the periphery of the eurozone. The ECB says it will do everything it can to contain this threat of fragmentation. It remains uncertain though whether financial markets will continue to swallow the ECB’s narrative. These are painful times for bond investors, but there are opportunities.

Quintet Private Bank sees “significant long-term opportunities” in a world that has experienced multiple ‘black-swan’ type events – Covid-19, the invasion of Ukraine and a miniature version in China’s decision to lock down Shanghai in late March. Presenting the firm’s outlook, Ilario Attasi, group head of investment advisors, and Nicolas Sopel, senior macro strategist, said investors can still find opportunities in tech stocks, among others.

The Federal Reserve is doing something else than what it says it is doing. At last week’s FOMC meeting, Fed chief Jerome Powell said that “the committee is not trying to cause a recession”. Yet it is clear that the Fed is directly linking a recession to lower inflation risks and that the Fed does want to fight inflation.

Franklin Templeton, one of the world’s ten largest asset managers, this week outlined its views on investing at a time that inflation threatens to undermine economic growth. Investors who haven’t already done so need to adapt their portfolios to take account of the new inflation-fighting interest rate environment, at least in the short term. Underpinning its investment outlook is the expectation of more balanced monetary policy risks later this year.

Net assets of worldwide investment funds decreased by 2.5 percent in the first quarter as the decline in the United States and Europe was only partly offset by net inflows in the Asia-Pacific region, according to the latest International Statistical Release published by the European Fund and Asset Management Association, known as Efama. Bond and money market saw strong net outflows during the first three months, although China bucked the with rising inflows for money market funds.

It’s not difficult to compare today’s era to the 1970s. An energy crisis, a hot war, a cold war, persistent inflation, soaring interest rates, rising house prices. Even Abba, with its flared trousers, is performing again, albeit as a hologram. For investors, a rerun of the 1970s would require a profound rethink. 

Firms promoting Exchange Traded Funds in Europe have reported 2.5 billion euro in net inflows for last month, despite a persistently difficult market environment, market research firm Refinitiv Lipper said on Tuesday. The inflows remain “far below” the 12-month rolling average of 11.5 billion euro per month.

Firms selling Ucits and alternative investment funds are experiencing a downturn linked to the dire international economic situation, the war in Ukraine and the lockdown in China. Investor demand for these types of funds has dropped sharply, according to the European Fund and Asset Management Association (Efama), who released figures showing that net assets of Ucits and AIFs have declined by 4.5% this past quarter.

Since 1926, the S&P 500 index has fallen by more than 20 percent fifteen times. On average, the index fell 34 percent in seventeen months during such a period. As many as eleven of the fifteen times the market paused somewhere between 15 and 20 percent price decline, just as it is doing now.

Then some of the earlier losses were made up for. On that basis alone, there is a good chance that the fall will continue.