Investing

Pressed by persistently high inflation in the eurozone, the European Central Bank on Thursday may opt to double up on the 25 basis point rate hike that it has flagged already. Financial markets are increasingly bracing themselves for such a major increase, citing among others the euro’s recent weakness against the dollar.

As US companies revise their earnings forecasts en masse and fears of recession-induced defaults increase, some investors feel it’s a good moment to get into high yield corporate debt. The key question: what will be the nature of the upcoming recession?

“A rare opportunity to get into high yield,” noted bond strategist David Furey of State Street Global Advisors in a market review last week. “A fantastic buying opportunity for US high yield,” said Dutch investment advisory firm Candoris. 

Semiconductors everywhere you look, the end of cash, the development of digital entertainment utilities and technology-driven warp speed healthcare innovation will be some of the trends, already visible today, that will define our lives in 2030, according to a long-term lookahead presentation by Capital Group. The overall message in was that yes, the world has changed, but there will still be plenty of opportunity, much of it related to technological development.

In public markets, a well-known proposition is that at the moment that everyone steps in, the red flag should be raised: probably the best time is over. Investors in private markets, where effects are generally felt later, do not worry so much. Besides, there is not much you can do as a private investor.

The ISM Manufacturing Index, also known as the purchasing managers’ index, fell more than expected in June. The index dropped to 53 where a reading of 54.5 was expected. This was not really a surprise, as the regional sentiment indicators had already fallen significantly. 

In fact, they pointed to an ISM Manufacturing of only just above 50.

Sustainability funds have been selling like hot cakes in recent years. Not surprisingly, many fund houses like to see their funds classified as Article 8 or 9 under the SFDR. After all, these are the funds where sustainability criteria play a role in the investment process. We provide an overview of the most popular equity funds within this group over the past 12 months.

Germany has unexpectedly reported its first trade deficit since 1991. The reversal of the trade balance in Europe’s largest economy shows how difficult it is for German companies to handle rising costs of oil and gas. Economists at ABN Amro and Nomura meanwhile expect Europe will enter into a recession.

The global macro environment will continue to be anything but normal over the next five years. Investors will have to tread a volatile and challenging path. “Our expectations for a more volatile macroeconomic and market environment call for low and realistic expectations for asset market returns over the secular horizon.”

Private Equity in the coming years is set to attract a wider range of investors, in particular those who are considered High Net Worth Individuals. But the expansion of what still largely is seen as a private club does not come without risk, a conference organised by the Luxembourg Private Equity Association has heard.

An investment portfolio today should consist predominantly of US assets. Impact investing is sustainable investing 2.0 and long duration assets continue to struggle. That is what independent investment expert Jan Longeval said during the closing debate of Portfolio Day, which Investment Officer organised in Brussels last Thursday.