Asset Allocation

Infrastructure is becoming a must in all portfolios. It is a decorative asset. Private companies are helping along with governments to achieve this. Whitehelm Capital’s fund continues to perform strongly and should benefit from major investment programmes in the major developed countries. 

In its outlook for 2022, JP Morgan Asset Management makes no bones about the fact that equities remain attractive, even if inflation sticks around a bit longer than expected. In times of inflation and negative real interest rates, equities have almost never given a negative return in the past, according to JP Morgan’s outlook with chief strategist Vincent Juvyns (photo).

Pierre Lamelin, manager of the Comgest Growth Europe fund, has made finding value in growth companies the cornerstone of his strategy. These companies, with their unique combination of value and growth characteristics, are invariably labelled quality. The manager is convinced that these companies, given their higher and predictable earnings growth, will outperform the market in the longer term. 

The current inflation surge is similar to the one after World War II. It then took two years for inflation to cool. Long-term interest rates should start to rise, according to the online Outlook 2022 conference organised by Candriam. Anton Brender and Florence Pisani, both economists, conducted the webinar.

Real assets like stocks and real estate are expensive but remain a way to maintain purchasing power. And inflation will remain high. This is BNP Paribas’ outlook as explained by Philippe Gijsels, chief strategist, and Koen De Leus, chief economist.

Investors in emerging markets should completely ignore the 60 per cent worst performing companies when defining their investment universe. These companies bring extra risk, without rewarding you for it. In addition, investing in China is very different at the moment: great opportunities are better left aside in some cases. 

While the price of gas shot through the roof last week, it seems that a real energy crisis can be avoided in the short term now that Vladimir Putin is going to supply extra gas. Nevertheless, the unexpected turbulence in the energy market is reason for ING to reassess its investment strategies. It is a perfect storm.

The question is whether the illiquidity of private markets is still an issue if the market becomes more volatile again. Especially when you realise that liquid markets can also become illiquid.

With the upcoming COP26 Climate Change Conference in Glasgow, the pressure on pension funds to green their investment portfolios increases. At the same time, the debate on fossil investments is intensifying. But what is the best roadmap: exclusion or engagement? Pension fund PME chooses option 1, while asset manager PGIM explicitly favours option 2. 

PME: disinvestment logical

Chahine Capital’s macroeconomic analysis shows that European equities and value are now the most attractive in this cycle. The European risk premium is particularly high. Italian equities have strong rationing potential.

This emerged from an interview with Julien Bernier (chief investment officer) (photo) of Chahine Capital. Among other things, the Luxembourg-based manager will use macroeconomic analysis to define four distinctive pillars, namely economic momentum, monetary policy, valuation and a behavioural component.