Asset Allocation

Small caps have shown stellar performance this year, helped by an improved economic outlook. Valuations have risen, so are there still opportunities for investors? We asked Jan Willem Berghuis, head of small caps at Kempen Capital Management.

In recent weeks, the €1.2 billion Kempen Global Smallcap fund has taken profits on the biggest risers, adjusted weightings and spent time on new investment ideas, says Berghuis.

The rally in commodity prices has only just started and has much further to go, according to Phillippe Gijsels, head strategist of BNP Paribas Fortis. This is due to a powerful combination of increasing demand and supply constraints due to years of underinvestment in the sector.

Pets are not just fun to have around, they are also an excellent investment. ‘The pet economy is growing faster than the economy as a whole every year, because it benefits from a number of megatrends that are converging,’ according to Andreas Fruschki, manager of the Allianz Pet and Animal Wellbeing fund.

Looking for companies that can contribute to the decarbonisation of the European economy. That’s the mission of Echiquier Climate Impact Europe, a new impact fund of la Financière de L’Echiquier (LFDE). Remarkably, the fund mostly invests in established European companies.

Positive returns on investment-grade bonds have been hard to come by in the West. The Nordic market is one of the few exceptions, says Michael Weidner, head of European fixed income for global asset manager Lazard Asset Management. He especially likes Danish mortgage bonds.

‘Nordic bonds are a market segment with high credit quality, high liquidity and some extra yield without additional risk,’ he says. For Weidner, this market is one of the ultimate safe havens for risk-sensitive bond investors.

Disruption is wiping out entire sectors and companies. While winners are hard to predict, using megatrends such as digitalisation and ageing to identify the losers in advance is the best approach, says Henk Grootveld, head of trend investing at Lombard Odier IM.

Emerging market debt is perfectly placed to benefit from the economic recovery that will follow the current lockdowns. Especially local high-yield bonds are in a sweet spot, says Capital Group’s Luis Freitas De Oliveira.

Dividends paid by European companies on an underlying basis have sunk by more than 28% in 2020 to €141 billion, according to the Janus Henderson Global Dividend Index. This is the lowest figure since 2009.

Expensive US growth stocks need not suffer from reflation and rising interest rates. On the contrary, they will thrive thanks to their pricing power, says Ton Wijsman, senior portfolio manager at AllianceBernstein and former director at W.P. Stewart.

Carmignac says all lights are green for an investment in emerging markets. The weakening dollar and the rapid recovery of economies mean increasing your allocation to EM equities and bonds is a must.