The myth of “free” dividends
A targeted educational intervention can break the free dividends fallacy among retail investors. The result: a lasting behavioral change that reveals how fragile—yet how malleable—the demand for dividends truly is.
The great intermediary reboot
Private markets no longer run in straight lines. Intermediaries are merging, data is flowing, and Luxembourg may quietly become the nerve center of the new system.
A strong euro? Quite the opposite
It was fall break in October, which meant plenty of travelers crossed the Atlantic to visit New York. One of the perks: shopping in the Big Apple had become much cheaper than at the start of the year.
Chart of the week: the short-term memory of investors, economists, and experts
It took a little longer than expected, but the delayed US inflation figure for October came in just slightly below expectations. That means that, by the time this column is published, the Federal Reserve will have cut interest rates by another quarter point, and—unless something strange happens—another quarter point cut will follow in December.
Who will still want those guzzlers later on?
The bulk of US economic growth this year can be attributed to data centers. But what will all that infrastructure be worth once chips arrive that are a hundred times more energy-efficient than today’s models?
Chart of the week: 海 市 蜃 楼
The title of this column is the Chinese word for “mirage” or “illusion.” Hot air, in other words. Just like the impressive Chinese growth figure that was proudly announced this week.
Vive la France!
Last week, the French government survived two motions of no confidence, mainly by promising not to raise the retirement age from 62 to 64 for the time being. For S&P, however, this was reason enough to downgrade France’s credit rating from AA- to A+. It may seem like a minor detail, but for managers of fixed income funds that require at least AA-rated investments, it created an immediate problem. Did all those French government bonds suddenly need to be dumped?
The reverse silk road: why Asian money now lands in Luxembourg
Asian investors are turning to Luxembourg as their preferred gateway to global private markets. The flows are quiet but transformative.
Chart of the week: the balance dance
The word is out! Fed Chair Jay Powell is considering stopping the reduction of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet. If you think that balance sheet has slimmed down significantly after three years of quantitative tightening, you’re mistaken. Moreover, Powell is putting himself in an impossible position once again by lowering interest rates at the same time.
Forget ‘superstar city’: a new look at REIT cash flows
A groundbreaking study shows that “superstar cities” systematically lag in total returns — a crucial insight for valuing REITs (real estate investment trusts). The explanation lies in lower rental yields and surprisingly low risk, which fundamentally changes how future cash flows should be assessed.