Forget ‘superstar city’: a new look at REIT cash flows
A groundbreaking study shows that “superstar cities” systematically lag in total returns — a crucial insight for valuing REITs (real estate investment trusts). The explanation lies in lower rental yields and surprisingly low risk, which fundamentally changes how future cash flows should be assessed.
Donald Trump and the Nobel Peace Prize
The recent developments in the Middle East make one thing absolutely clear: president Donald Trump deserves the Nobel Peace Prize. This is the logical conclusion if we look at what the prize is supposed to reward: concrete peace achievements that save lives.
The death of IPOs, long live Luxembourg
The public markets are shrinking, but private capital is booming, and Luxembourg is quietly building the exchange of the future.
Chart of the week: the euro is heavily overvalued
So far this year, the euro has appreciated by no less than 13 percent against the US dollar. That drop in the dollar’s value — because that’s what it really is — was first explained as America discarding its “exceptionalism” under Trump.
Answers from the campfire
Last week, during the Fund Event, I sat in a packed room around a metaphorical campfire. This time, questions didn’t come through the chat, but as paper airplanes floating through the air. Some landed in the fire and were answered immediately. Others fell into the ashes. Time to pick those up.
The human factor in factor investing
Wat als de sleutel tot het begrijpen van marktrendementen niet in de balansen van bedrijven ligt, maar in de portefeuilles van de mensen die ze bezitten?
Chart of the week: it just keeps going
As I’m still reflecting on the Fund Event 2025, where it became objectively clear that Europe needs to take action and learn to look at and approach things differently, the United States just keeps steaming ahead.
The crash of October
October has a bad reputation in the markets. The biggest crashes in history – 1929, 1987, and 2008 – all took place in October. This pattern does not appear to be a coincidence but rather the result of structural factors that make this month particularly volatile.
Chart of the week: valuation issues
Stocks are extremely expensive, so it’s just a matter of time before the markets collapse. The next mega market crisis already has a name: the bursting of the AI bubble.
ECB swaps the Italy problem for the France problem
It is March 2020 and Italy is in serious trouble. Italian long-term interest rates are rising rapidly, and the spreads with other eurozone countries are widening.