The expectations paradox
When everyone expects the same thing, it is time to think differently. A good example comes from Value Line, a company that makes stock market forecasts. They predict higher returns when valuations are low. Individual investors do exactly the opposite.
Chart of the week: you wouldn’t expect it, would you
An insignificant Danish pension fund dumps all its US Treasuries. Financial media eagerly jump on this headline, because that is not something most investors would just expect. About the underlying structural cause, which has little to do with a president gone off the rails, you hear a lot less.
Promoting Luxembourg is not sales. It’s translation.
In Asia, Luxembourg’s challenge is not explaining its rules, but translating stability, judgment and trust across cultures and expectations globally, Christophe Santer finds.
When everything goes against you, recovery beckons
The global economy is facing significant challenges. Geopolitical tensions are often palpable, and the sharp rise in precious metal prices suggests that fear is widespread, likely driven by a range of perceived threats.
The chart that investors would rather not see
In the run-up to the Senate elections later this year, a presidential candidate has been making some rather odd moves. After briefly plucking away the president of a, at least on paper, sovereign state, and more or less annexing Greenland, again on paper, the chair of the US central bank was next in line. As a result, crucial charts that already tend to stay out of the spotlight receive even less attention. Fortunately, not here.
SFDR 2.0 lacks ‘shades of green’
The product classification in the revised SFDR does not allow for any ‘shades of green’. That is regrettable, because precisely such labels would make investment choices clearer for investors.
Attack on the Fed: why investors should fear Trump’s ‘seesaw effect’
The US Department of Justice has opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell. Officially, the case concerns the renovation of government office buildings in Washington. No one should pretend to be naive enough to take that explanation at face value.
The illusion of passive investing
Passive investing does not exist. It is a comforting fairy tale we tell ourselves, while we all press the same buttons en masse.
Chart of the week: better a raging optimist or a permabear than an index hugger
A new year, a new round. Every year at the beginning of January, I once again look with amazement and confusion at the equity market outlooks from the major financial institutions. And especially at the projected returns, which are invariably clustered right around the long-term average. Because one thing you can be almost certain of is that those projections will not materialize.
On Wall Street, one type of colleague remains ‘problematic’: the woman
EEOC interim chair Andrea Lucas has urged white men who feel discriminated against at work to file a federal complaint. “Are you a white man who has been disadvantaged at work because of your race or gender? Then you may be able to get money back,” Lucas said in a video on X. Act quickly, is the message.