Chart of the week: The weakest link

Remember that BBC quiz show with the notoriously blunt Anne Robinson, who ended each round with the line, “You are the weakest link. Goodbye”? In The Weakest Link, the contestant deemed weakest by the others was eliminated—on the logic that a weak player could damage the prize pot. That sounds rather economic. So why is the European Central Bank (ECB) doing the exact opposite?

Über-capitalist becomes communist

One fascinating espionage technique during the Cold War was the “sleeper mole.” These were Soviet agents who operated inconspicuously in the West for years—sometimes even decades—awaiting activation. To avoid being recognized as communists, these moles had to cultivate the opposite image. In the eyes of Soviet strategists, the perfect cover? An extreme capitalist: someone who lines his house with gold, plasters his name in gold letters on buildings, and constantly boasts about wealth and success.

Chart of the week: a realistic look at bonds

I remain endlessly amazed by how traditional investors continue to cling to outdated assumptions and clichés. Just last week, another firm once again refused to honor a client’s strong desire to expand their limited mix of just two asset classes. For tactical reasons, I’ll refrain from sharing the usual fallacies used to justify this.

Safe havens in investment portfolios

The prospect of foreign investors reducing their exposure to U.S. assets due to concerns about the dominance of U.S. Treasuries as a safe haven is fueling discussions about the very concept of a safe haven. Significant shifts in correlations between various asset classes, particularly between U.S. equities and the dollar, are at the heart of this debate.

Invisible smoke plumes for the ECB

It was March 2015 when Otmar Issing, an early board member of the ECB and the bank’s former chief economist, poured me a cup of coffee. Like two war veterans, we sat on the 60th floor of the Messeturm in Frankfurt, gazing out at the smoke plumes marring the city’s skyline. Issing had seen something like it before—just as I had.