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Trump's return to Davos heralds new age of deglobalization

As global leaders and investors arrive in Davos this week, the central question for markets is no longer whether geopolitics matters, but how quickly political risk is being priced into assets. Donald Trump’s return to the World Economic Forum, where he is due to speak on Wednesday, comes at a moment when institutional credibility, fiscal discipline and capital concentration have become investment variables rather than background noise.

The chart that investors would rather not see

In the run-up to the Senate elections later this year, a presidential candidate has been making some rather odd moves. After briefly plucking away the president of a, at least on paper, sovereign state, and more or less annexing Greenland, again on paper, the chair of the US central bank was next in line. As a result, crucial charts that already tend to stay out of the spotlight receive even less attention. Fortunately, not here.

CIOs caution investors against headline-driven decisions

Anyone following geopolitical tensions, the noise around China and the ongoing turmoil coming out of Washington might expect investors to turn defensive. The opposite emerged at the CIO panel during the Investment Officer New Year’s Perspectives 2026 in Amsterdam on Thursday. Chief investment officers from ING, Van Lanschot Kempen, ABN Amro and Rabobank are not retreating, but positioning with intent. Their shared view was that the greatest risk is not geopolitics itself, but investment decisions driven by fear. That perspective ran through the discussion.